Sunday, August 14, 2016

Donald Trump's August Polling Downfall

I really want to see Hillary Clinton's downfall, but if these reports are true...

I take stories like this with a big bag of salt, especially given the underlying source is from the New York Times (which on a whole has a partisan bent in this), but I have I have had many of these same concerns myself from watching events unfold from the outside. I agree with John Nolte on this point, Trump would be better served giving up ad libbing at his rallies.

There is an effort in the media to demoralize Trump supporters to steer the outcome of the election.  It is not that Crooked Hillary is running a great campaign, it is just that the Trump campaign (mainly through Trump himself) can't seem to stop tripping himself up.  Fair or unfair (and I recognize he gets treated unfairly by the media in comparison to Clinton), the Trump campaign does look disorganized, appears to be off track since the conventions, and is not disciplined.

That does not mean Trump can't turn it around. There have been a couple of good things Trump has done, but it gets drowned out in repeated (and at least avoidable in part) negative media cycles.

Twitchy: Trump not happy with media coverage
Kevin Williamson/NRO: Trump is Losing It and Losing It
Observer: Ultimate media privilege: Hillary's crimes vs Trump's mouth
Daily Beast: The debates will surely decide the election
Weekly Standard: All the issues favor Trump
Hot Air: Media bias or message discipline?


  1. You're quoting Shapiro?

    Maybe I'm wrong, but I always heard the month of August had 31 days, not 13.

    And, last I looked, most of the polls had given up on the "bounce".

    1. I know Shapiro is no Trump fan, but do you not realize he is defending Trump with that tweet above?

      Trump is losing ground in the LA/USC poll you mostly rely on. Trump is losing most of the battle grounds. I am not saying Trump can't turn this around, but Trump can't keep doing what he is doing and expect this to turn around. In my opinion, that would be an exceedingly risky strategy. But if you disagree, keep on keeping on. I would not count on a summer riot in Milwaukee to change this dynamic much.

    2. Ed, so when Shapiro defends Trump he's wrong too? You never did respond back on that.

  2. My opinion - and I plan to vote for Trump - is that Trump does not really want to be President. Oh he wanted the nomination alright, to see if he could do it. But to actually be President and govern for the next four or eight years? No thanks, he'll pass.

    1. His latest foreign policy speech was excellent. Let's hope for more of the same.


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