Friday, September 28, 2018

Battle of the Midterms



Brett Kavanaugh and Lindsey Graham were both impressive yesterday. Kavanaugh will almost certainly get 11 Republican votes from the Senate Committee today (supporting a recommendation for a full confirmation vote in the Senate). Kavanaugh's confirmation vote could be as early as tomorrow (probably no later than Monday or Tuesday). 

If rumors are true, the votes are there for confirming Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Jeff Flake said he would vote for him (although as an update there are hints he might be backing out--but the vote just happened and it is going to the floor, although Flake said he will not vote for Kavanaugh on the floor if there is not more FBI investigation). While it is not confirmed, I suspect Collins and Murkowski will too (although there is pressure on them to reverse  and they may agree with Flake with some delay). Democrat Joe Manchin has said he would vote for Kavanaugh. While you can be sure they will pull out all stops they can over the next several days to try to derail this (and there may be delay given what Flake just did), I am cautiously optimistic Kavanaugh will ultimately be confirmed to the Supreme Court.  






Democrats played games with Christine Blasey Ford's accusation, sitting on it until after the Senate advise and consent hearings were over. Dianne Feinstein was mostly to blame for that, creating a media storm with the obvious intent of derailing Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation and to potentially hold the seat open for two years until after the 2020 election (payback for Merrick Garland). 

If Dianne Feinstein had brought this letter forward when she got it (and she could have done so in a confidential manner) it could have been dealt with back in July and August without all this rancor and partisanship. She and the Democrats did not want that, they wanted to make political hay out of it.  


The hypocrisy of the Democrats was obvious. Media assclowns like Creepy Porn Lawyer Michael Avenatti helped weaken Ford's position by their over the top specious attacks on Kavanaugh. Don't kid your self, however, most Democrats are going to get very fired up over this. Republicans cannot let off on this.  


Senator Donnelly (D-IN) just confirmed he is voting no on Kavanaugh. Donnelly is up for re-election in 2018 and that race is essentially tied  with his Republican opponent Mike Braun. If you can donate to Mike Braun do so. If you live in Indiana, make sure to vote for Republican Mike Braun for Senate.  

We are in for a big fight. If Kavanaugh gets confirmed, Democrats will try to impeach him if they take the House. The Democrats will run on Christine Blasey Ford. While there were significant gaps of memory and inconsistencies with her story, she came off as credible to most people (at least in terms of being a victim of sexual assault). While I am positive it was not Brett Kavanaugh, the media and Democrats will run saying it was.

Republicans were in a bind. They could not delay given the games and dirty tricks of the Democrats.  The GOP base would have revolted. But the argument for FBI investigation that the Democrats will run with with play with some voters. Sexual harassment and assault is a very emotionally charged issue and dangerous politically.  

If the Democrats take the House and Senate in 2018 Election, the agenda will be 100% attacking Trump, Kavanaugh and the Republicans. The Media is overwhelmingly partisan and supporting Democrats. Lindsey Graham was right about what he said about Democrats yesterday and their thirst for power. You have to get out there and vote. You have to support GOP candidates.

Update:

This Flake proposal for a one week limited (both in time and scope) FBI investigation is dangerous, but also gives GOP cover in the mid-terms. Regardless of your thoughts about Flake, the GOP needs at least two of Manchin, Collins, and Murkowski (if they don't have Flake). Washington Examiner gives Mitch McConnell's three options (option to is agree to the one week delay).


Volokh Conspiracy:  A Way Out Of The Kavanaugh Debacle. I would think if presented by Democrats in a timely and good faith manner this could have happened (in theory), but there is zero chance the Democrats would ever agree to such a thing. They don't care about the truth, they equally want to destroy any GOP nominee.  They want fill that seat with someone they want.  Interesting thought experiment, but completely implausible.

Instapundit: Believe the Evidence, Andrew McCarthy: Democrats are not acting in good faith,  Ford already rejecting one week FBI investigation, Trump endorses FBI Investigation, Avenatti is a real piece of work, Senate to vote on nomination, FBI investigation to last no longer than one week, Four ways the GOP could have avoided this mess, Judiciary Committee Approves Kavanaugh, sending nominee to the full Senate, Tweet of the Day, Republicans don't do to Democrat nominees what they do to Republicans, It's Total War, ABA Fake News on Kavanaugh, and Women's March calls Flake a "rape apologist"

Rush Limbaugh: Rachel Mitchell's devastating report on Christine Ford, If you win on Kavanaugh, you win the midterms, Trump & Phony Democrat Senators Flake Fear Realized, Hillary Hack Tweet: Kavanaugh won't serve for life, Democrats could have called the FBI in July, If Leftists Are The Majority, Why Did Michael Moore's movie bomb?, Psychological disorders are the platform of the Democrat Party, Rape survivor with PTSD doesn't believe Dr. Ford, Spartacus walks out of hearing after speechifying for 20 minutes, Does Anyone Remember Tawana Brawley? 

TOM: Breaking: Kavanaugh one week investigator revealled, The Deeper Meaning of Kavanaughkampf, Graham Heroic, Kavanaugh Hearing Update: Kate Hunt, While Watching The #Kavanaugh Hearing, The Big Day: Avenatti Client Discredited, Ford's Accusation Now Collapsing, A Totalitarian Movement To Destroy Civilization As We Know It

Legal Insurrection: Avenatti's Client Sexual Harrasser?, Weak Republicans deny us of a victory, even if Kavanaugh confirmed and Flake votes Kavanaugh forward, but wants a week delay on floor vote





That might leave a mark
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