Showing posts with label U.S. Treasury. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. Treasury. Show all posts

Monday, September 25, 2017

Trump's Tax Plan

Washington Examiner: The Big Six behind this Plan


There is a lot riding on this.  Expect the left and Democrats to do everything they can to derail it.  But I like setting up Democrats up for re-election to oppose it. The key to that is a plan that the public really wants (and will punish those who oppose it).

Rush Limbaugh: Trump's Tax PlanMore populist than conservative, and Trump slams McCain, again

Legal Insurrection: Trump's New Permanent Travel Order

Megan McArdle: These Are No Reagan Tax Cuts

AoSHQ/J.J. Sefton: Morning Report

Right Scoop: Under The Bus


Hogewash: The NYT learns to do math...

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Are we heading for a crash of the stock market?


Hmmm…
The key takeaway is that overvalued financial markets are not sustainable and must eventually experience a correction that returns them back to their fundamental value. In a free market (unlike what we have now), stock valuations move in waves, alternating from undervaluation to fair valuation to overvaluation, and back again. The Federal Reserve, by trying to keep the bubble constantly inflated, has distorted this natural process. Regardless, U.S. stocks will come back to earth when the Fed finally loses control of the situation, and the final comedown will be far more painful than would occur in a free market.
How The Stock Bubble Will End
I believe that the longer-term U.S. stock bubble will end when the very fuel behind it is removed, which is record low interest rates. As I discussed in my last stock bubble report, I foresee two ways that rates will rise and pop the stock bubble: 
Scenario #1: After several more years of the Bubblecovery or bubble-driven economic recovery, the Federal Reserve has a “Mission Accomplished” moment and eventually increases the Fed Funds rate too high, creating a hard landing that pops the post-2009 bubbles that were created by stimulative monetary conditions in the first place. Rising interest rates are what ended the 2003-2007 bubble, which led to the Global Financial Crisis. 
Scenario #2: The ballooning and unsustainable amount of government and corporate bond market debt eventually causes investors to jettison bonds en masse, which leads to much higher interest rates.

Misconceptions about bubble markets

Friday, January 4, 2013

So what will these new trillion dollar coins look like?

There is some suggestion that the U.S. Government could issue platinum trillion dollar coins to cover the debt.  It would probably be a fiction since a trillion dollars worth of platinum would weigh  40,207,619 pounds or 20,135 tons (at $1552 an ounce).  My math may be off a bit (I may have missed a zero and I did not convert to Troy ounces).  But let's just agree it would weight a lot.  I am positive the U.S. Government does not have even close that much platinum anyway (probably all the gold in Fort Knox is not close to that value). 



Update:  
And the left is blaming Boehner and GWB for this?  WTF?  How about blaming Barack Obama who is friggin proposing this Weimar-esque scheme?  

Anyway, here is my suggestion for the design of such a coin: 

Instapundit has this suggestion...

And platinum is heavy.  About twice as heavy as gold.  Here is what a kilo (2.2 lbs) of platinum looks like:
A little bigger than actual scale